The Inglis Classic market shift: Who’s buying and who’s not?

5 min read
The median price at the Inglis Classic Yearling Sale has been almost the same for five years, however, TTR AusNZ's quadrant analysis shows a shift in the underlying figures towards the higher end of the market and a widening gap between the top priced lots and the lower end.

Cover image courtesy of Inglis

An oft-repeated word around the Inglis Classic Yearling Sale is that it’s a trade sale, suited to syndicators who on-sell to clients, for trainers looking for a horse to trial and flick on, or for breeze up sale buyers. It’s regularly said that Classic is a ‘type’ sale and a good physical will sell but the rest will struggle to find homes.

Since ‘type’ is a judgement call made by buyers based on their own preferences, no data can ever determine the truth of this idea, but a quartile analysis of the sale results can show if vendor expectations align with buyer assessments.

Five year figures

The Inglis Classic Yearling Sale has changed format during the period of our analysis with 2021, 2022, and 2023 including a highway section, which was integrated into the main sale from 2024 onwards. However, the number of lots at the sale hasn’t changed aside from small annual fluctuations, so TTR included the highway lots into the five year analysis.

Lot 707 - The Autumn Sun x Talimena (colt) realised the top price of $520,000 at the 2025 Inglis Classic Yearling Sale | Image courtesy of Inglis

The key indicator of stability is that the median has remained static at $70,000 for four of the five years, sliding up to $80,000 in 2022 only. The average has risen three per cent from 2021 to 2025, from $90,191 (2021) to $93,442 (2025) with the highest average occurring in 2021.

The number of lots has hovered around 800, from 803 in 2021 to 806 in 2025 with a peak of 830 in 2023, but the clearance rate has dropped steadily each year from 92 per cent in 2021 and 2022 to 83 per cent in 2025. Compared to other yearling sales, this remains an excellent clearance rate.

The top priced lot has also remained static, sitting around the $600,000 mark with minor fluctuations each year.

202580685582 $ 70,000 81% $ 93,442 $ 54,383,000 $ 520,000
202480887608 $ 70,000 84% $ 92,566 $ 56,280,000 $ 600,000
202383063661 $ 70,000 86% $ 93,877 $ 62,053,000 $ 550,000
202281070680 $ 80,000 92% $ 107,660 $ 73,209,000 $ 825,000
202180396648 $ 70,000 92% $ 90,191 $ 58,443,500 $ 625,000
Five Year Percentage Growth0%-13%-11%0%-14%3%-7%-20%

Table: A five year look at the changes across key metrics at the Inglis Classic Yearling Sale

Quadrant analysis of the sale

By breaking the sold prices from Classic into four quadrants, a deeper analysis can be done of the different sectors of the market. The top 50 per cent of lots sold by price in each of the past five years has grown in average by six per cent from 2021 to 2025, while the lower two quartiles have shifted at a different rate. Quartile three, the 25 per cent of lots below the median, has grown by two per cent, while the bottom 25 per cent of the market has fallen by six per cent.

This is also shown by the gap between the average price in the top quartile and the average price in the bottom quartile. The gap has grown by seven per cent, from $166,000 to $179,000 in 2025, and this represents the shifting in the market towards the top end.

2025582 $ 70,000 $ 203,042 $ 97,711 $ 53,486 $ 23,486 $ 179,556
2024608 $ 70,000 $ 192,566 $ 93,257 $ 57,059 $ 27,382 $ 165,184
2023661 $ 70,000 $ 204,177 $ 93,042 $ 54,033 $ 25,346 $ 178,830
2022680 $ 80,000 $ 227,735 $ 111,441 $ 63,353 $ 28,112 $ 199,624
2021648 $ 70,000 $ 191,759 $ 91,420 $ 52,590 $ 24,994 $ 166,765

Perhaps this means that good types sell better, assuming good types are the top end of the market (which is not a straightforward assumption given the impact of pedigree on price).

Five Year Percentage Growth6%6%2%-6%7%

Table: A year by year quadrant analysis of the Inglis Classic Yearling Sale

Buyer behaviour change, falling number of individual buyers

One of the more troubling pieces of data from the Inglis Classic Yearling Sale is the falling number of individual buyers over the last five years. The number of lots sold at this sale has fallen 11 per cent in the past five years, but the number of individual buyers has fallen 22 per cent (from 403 in 2021 to 330 in 2025).

Livia Wang and Craig Rounsefell at Inglis Classic in 2025 | Image courtesy of Inglis

The number of individual buyers who purchased one lot at Classic has fallen 30 per cent from 274 in 2021 to 211 in 2025 – and this is also a relative fall across the number of buyers with 2021’s single lot buyers representing 68 per cent of all buyers, but in 2025, the single lot buyers represented 64 per cent of all buyers.

Because of this, the number of lots purchased per buyer has increased for 1.61 to 1.76.

2025806582 $ 70,000 3301.7621164%Darby Racing, NSW11
2024808608 $ 70,000 3531.7221461%Domeland Pty Ltd, NSW13
2023830661 $ 70,000 3941.6825665%Legend Racing Pty Ltd, VIC7
2022810680 $ 80,000 3901.7425766%Kavanagh Racing , VIC14
2021803648 $ 70,000 4031.6127468%John Foote Bloodstock, HONG KONG9
Five Year Percentage Growth0%-11%0%-22%-30%

Table: Five year trend of buyer activity at Inglis Classic Yearling Sale

Vendors remain static

The average number of vendors over the past five years at Classic is 74.4, and this has fluctuated a little each year but essentially remained static. In 2021, there were 76 vendors, in 2025, there were 73. The high was in 2024 with 79 and the low in 2023 with 69.

2025806582$70,00073Arrowfield Stud4035
2024808608$70,00079Widden Stud5642
2023830661$70,00069Widden Stud5648
2022810680$80,00075Newgate Farm5849
2021803648$70,00076Arrowfield Stud4643

Table: Five year trend for vendors at the Inglis Classic Yearling Sale

Stallion numbers are stable

Again it’s a story of stability when it comes to stallion numbers. The number of stallions represented at the Inglis Classic Yearling Sale has remained static over the last five years, almost to the point of ‘hmm, let’s check this data again’ with 110 stallions represented in 2021, 2023, and 2024, and 107 sires in the other two years.

2025806582 $ 93,442 107Zoustar $ 283,333
2024808608 $ 92,566 110Alabama Express $ 275,000
2023830661 $ 93,877 110Extreme Choice $ 324,167
2022810680 $ 107,660 107Extreme Choice $ 352,857
2021803648 $ 90,191 110Fastnet Rock $ 230,000

Table: A five year look at the stallion representation at the Inglis Classic Yearling Sale

Over the past five years, proven stallions have led the ‘by average’ statistics, except in 2024 when Alabama Express led with his second crop of yearlings.

In 2025, Zoustar was on top with three yearlings sold at $360,000, $290,000 and $200,000 for an average of $283,333.

Inglis Classic Yearling Sale
Quadrant Analysis